Wind AlliesTier 1
at EVO treasure tournament
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-3-1
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.1%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1252–1460
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1226
Q3 1293
1460
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 47.9% | -1.4 |
| Water Genbu | 17.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.5 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
